On the Losing Side of a Credit Battle; Leon T. Hadar on Readjusting to the New Global Reality

The Daily Reckoning Tuesday, October 06, 2009 US jobs aren't just 'lost' - they are dead.... A rumor, based on conspiracy, wrapped up in presumption... We always warned that private equity was a fraud... Leon T. Hadar on readjusting to the new global reality...and more! --------------------- Special Offer --------------------------- Think you can't afford your dream retirement? Think again. In the right places overseas, your dollars buy you way more than they do at home... A vineyard in Italy for less than $100,000... Six places in Mexico where you can live well on $1,500 a month... Your own escape on a palm-lined beach in Brazil for $63,000.... This time next year you could be living your dream. Let us help you make it happen. --------------------------------------------------------------- On the Losing Side of a Credit Battle by Bill Bonner London, England Where have all the jobs gone long time passing Where have all the jobs gone long time ago Where have all the jobs gone Gone to graveyards everyone When will they ever return Oh when will they ever return - Sung to the tune of "Where Have All the Flowers Gone?" "Many lost jobs in US will never come back..." says The Wall Street Journal. Need we explain why? Because they're not lost, waiting to be rediscovered. They're not missing in action, to be repatriated after the fighting stops. Instead, they're dead. Gone forever. There have been 7.2 million jobs lost since recession began. Many of these jobs were Bubble Age jobs. Millions of people, for example, earned their money in 'housing.' They were putting up houses in the sand states...or building granite countertops....or selling, flipping, financing the houses. Those jobs are gone forever. Never again in our lifetimes are we likely to see such an explosion in the housing industry. Sure, people will still build houses...and do all the other work involved in the traditional housing industry. But it will be only a fraction of the industry it was in the 2002-2007 period. There were also all the jobs involved in selling things to people who didn't need them and couldn't afford them. Labor was needed at every step of the way - manufacturing (perhaps in China), shipping, stocking, retailing, fixing, and financing the stuff. And don't forget all that mall space...and all the trucks...and all the other things that supported the over-consumption of the Bubble Age. And now the Bubble Age is over. It will not come back, no matter how much cash and credit the feds pump into the system. (Not that they can't make things worse...in a BIGGER bubble...but that is not yet in sight.) In The Wall Street Journal yesterday was an item about Las Vegas. The casinos are folding up their expansion plans, says the WSJ. But the big news yesterday was that the service industries are growing again...at least that's what the latest figures show. This news so delighted investors that they bid up Dow stocks 112 points. Oil rose above $70. Gold posted a $13 gain. Don't get too excited about that rise in the service sector. Everything bounces...even dead jobs. Dead jobs bounce; they still don't get up. After months of decline, it may be true that the service industries have had a rebound, but don't expect them to begin recovering the stamina and strength of the bubble years. A few more people may have gotten jobs serving drinks in Detroit's bars last month, but it is not likely to turn into a durable recovery of the job market, In the 1990s, the US economy added 2.15 million new jobs every year. It needed to add at least 1.5 million or so just to remain at full employment - that is, with about 5% of the workforce unemployed at any time. To put that number in perspective, this year the economy as LOST 2.5 million jobs, just in the last six months. Those jobs aren't coming back. As we keep saying, this is a depression. It is a major correction, in which the economy needs to find new jobs...because it can't continue to do what it has been doing. New jobs are typically created by new businesses - small businesses that are growing. Big businesses already have all the market share they're going to get. They also typically have all the employees they need. Then, when hard times come, they discover that they don't need all that they have, so they cut back. Job cuts from large businesses is what you expect in a recession. But this time it is different. This time, big businesses have let people go by the million. But small business has not been hiring them either. So not only is unemployment growing...the trend shows no signs of coming to an end. Economists are reconciled to high unemployment levels for a long time. The head of the IMF says unemployment might peak out in 8 to 12 months. Even if that were true, it will be a very long time before the job market recovers. Just do the math. We'll keep it simple. The economy needs, say, 1.5 million new jobs per year. Instead, over the last two years, it lost 7.5 million. Now, it has to stop losing jobs...let's just say that happens a year from now. By then, the total of jobs lost may be near 10 million. Plus, there are the new jobs it needed - but never got - over that 3 year period. That's another 4.5 million. So, the total will be about 14.5 million jobs down. Then, let us say, because we are in a generous and optimistic mood, that the economy then begins creating jobs again...at the rate it did during the '90s. What ho! After five years, that still leaves the economy more than 10 million jobs short, doesn't it? In order to get back to full employment, the economy has to surprise us on the upside. It has not merely to return to the growth levels of the '90s...it has to surpass them. It needs to grow so fast it creates 3 million jobs per year. And even then, it would take nearly 10 years to get back to full employment. Pretty grim, huh? Well, don't worry about it. It won't be like that. It will be worse. Keep reading... [The worst is yet to come, but we know you'll be prepared - because you set up your financial defense strategy. If you haven't yet, there's no time to waste - and these resources are completely free to you. Get them here.] More news, from The 5 Min. Forecast: "A rumor, based on conspiracy, wrapped up in presumption... that's all it takes to get markets moving these days," writes Ian Mathias in today's issue of The 5. "And it's why your gold investments just hit a historic high: "A global consortium of European, Middle Eastern and Asian nations are plotting to stop using the US dollar to trade oil, says the UK's The Independent. "The paper - which has captured the attention of essentially every financial news outlet - claims that 'Gulf Arabs are planning - along with China, Russia, Japan and France - to end dollar dealings for oil, moving instead to a basket of currencies including the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan, the euro, gold and a new, unified currency planned for nations in the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC), including Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar.' "Quite a mouthful, eh? According to The Independent's 'Gulf Arab and Chinese banking sources,' secret meetings between all these nations are already well underway and a potential transition out of the dollar is viable 'within nine years.' "Of course every government mentioned has dismissed the report, but some damage has already been done. The dollar index sank almost a point to 76.2, just above its yearly low. And gold, as we illustrated above, found a new record high. But, is this story for real? "'At first sight, such a move looks highly unlikely,' says Peter Cooper, one of our contacts in the UAE, who also just happened to be giving a city-wide tour of Dubai to Addison Wiggin and Chris Mayer today. 'The Gulf Arab countries are staunch allies of the United States and dependent on the US for military protection in their volatile region... It is far more likely that such rumors, if they are true, are more a question of policy makers mulling over policy options.' "'These rumors are especially interesting,' adds Addison, 'because they presuppose a unified position among GCC nations. Independently of this story, we learned yesterday at a press conference hosted by Standard Chartered bank of England that these countries don't necessarily agree with one another. "'The Saudis, Kuwaitis, Qataris and Emeratis have been trying to create a Euro-style unified currency in the Gulf region. But they can't agree on who would be the leading party, how the currency would be weighted, or even what to call it. It's a huge assumption that the GCC could get this currency off the ground in the near future...an even bigger presumption that these nations could agree on a strategy for replacing the dollar pricing of oil. "'Of course, it's possible - stranger things have happened. But at this point, it's a long shot. And it's no strange wonder that the rumor floated on the first day of the IMF meeting in Turkey today. The main subject under discussion at the meeting will be viable alternatives for the trillions in dollar reserves held by the Gulf States and BRIC nations...'" Incidentally, we have recently assembled four "go-teams" of in-country experts in the world's fastest growing markets. People who know first- hand all the ins and outs of investing in Brazil, Russia, India, and China. And if you act by tomorrow, Wednesday, October 7 you'll get a BRIC currency play that's guaranteed by the US government. But you have to act fast - this window of opportunity for this play is closes at midnight, Wednesday, October 7. Act now... And back to Bill, with more thoughts: "Uh...Bill...what do you mean, 'worse'?" Glad you asked. In the typical post-war recession, jobs are lost...then they are recovered when the economy gets on its feet again. But this happened in the credit expansion of the '45-'07 period. Each recession was just a pause, when the economy was catching its breath. Then, it was off again...in the same direction - up the mountain of credit. This time, it's not a typical post-war recession. It's something different. Now, we've reached the peak. We're coming down the other side...wheee! Look out below! Now we don't need all those people building houses, stocking the shelves and selling things. We don't need such a big financial industry either. Now, people want to get rid of credit, not get more. And the businesses that were goosed up in the credit bubble are now deflating fast. They're not just taking a break. They're lining up the jobs and shooting them in the back of the head. Those jobs are gone. (See below...) In a 'normal' recession, jobs reappear because the economy continues in the same direction. In a depression, it changes course. Debts are paid off. Spending goes down, more or less permanently. The economy actually contracts...until consumer debt is once again down at an acceptable level...or a new model for growth can be found. The Wall Street Journal mentions a statistician who was making $100,000 a year. He too is a victim of depression. His job has been outsourced to India. Businesses, with less revenue coming in the door, must cut costs in whatever way they can. Labor is the single biggest item on most firms' ledgers. They will reduce it however they can. And once the change is made, there is little chance that the job will come back. It is a little like a battle. In an attack, troops often get separated. They are 'lost' - for a while. Then, the winning side is able to recover its missing troops as it advances. But the losing side gives up its troops forever. They are stuck behind enemy lines and cannot rejoin their units. We are now on the losing side of a credit battle. Having gained so much ground, and so many jobs, in the advance, the United States is now giving them up. "I expect over the next several months, mainstream pundits and forecasters will start worrying about tepid hiring, even as the pace of job losses slows," Strategic Short Report's Dan Amoss chimes in. "As we 'lap' the 2009 corporate cost cutting by early 2010, and top lines fail to rebound, earnings estimates will have to come back down. I'm amazed at how many sell-side analysts are modeling V-shaped recoveries in 2010 earnings. Most stock prices are disconnected from reality." [Dan is working on a bonus short idea that ties into this for his readers. If you are one of them, look for it next week. If you aren't a Strategic Short Report reader, now is the time to get in... Dan's recommendations flourish in this kind of market environment. Get all the info you need here.] And here is a story we foretold years ago. Private equity was mostly a fraud, we said. Sharp operators bought companies for more than they were worth, loaded them with debt, collected huge fees, and then sold them back to the public or to other private equity firms. Come the revolution, we mused, these deals would go bad. Well, the revolution has come. The deals have gone bad. The New York Times reports: "Simmons [the mattress company] says it will soon file for bankruptcy protection, as part of an agreement by its current owners to sell the company - the seventh time it has been sold in a little more than two decades - all after being owned for short periods by a parade of different investment groups, known as private equity firms, which try to buy undervalued companies, mostly with borrowed money. "For many of the company's investors, the sale will be a disaster. Its bondholders alone stand to lose more than $575 million. The company's downfall has also devastated employees like Noble Rogers, who worked for 22 years at Simmons, most of that time at a factory outside Atlanta. He is one of 1,000 employees - more than one-quarter of the work force - laid off last year. "But Thomas H. Lee Partners of Boston has not only escaped unscathed, it has made a profit. The investment firm, which bought Simmons in 2003, has pocketed around $77 million in profit, even as the company's fortunes have declined. THL collected hundreds of millions of dollars from the company in the form of special dividends. It also paid itself millions more in fees, first for buying the company, then for helping run it. Last year, the firm even gave itself a small raise. "Wall Street investment banks also cashed in. They collected millions for helping to arrange the takeovers and for selling the bonds that made those deals possible. All told, the various private equity owners have made around $750 million in profits from Simmons over the years." Until tomorrow, Bill Bonner The Daily Reckoning --------------------- Special Offer --------------------------- Grab Your Share of the Most Aggressive Wealth Creation in History Sure, the Dow is up 50% from its lows last spring. But the market in this "wealth refuge" is up 100%. And I think it's just the beginning. Now imagine if you had a team of people who live and work in that country, uncovering the very best companies - just for you. You can put that team to work for you today... before we open access to the general public on Wednesday, October 7. But you must act fast...get in now. --------------------------------------------------------------- The Daily Reckoning PRESENTS: There is often a recognition lag between when an event actually happens, and when it is recognized by the mass majority. As Leon Hadar points out, below, changes in economic conditions, changes in the global status and power of nations, are not always immediately apparent, especially to the politicians and the generals who yield that power and to the journalists who cover them. Read on... It's the Balance of Power, Stupid! by Leon T. Hadar Washington, DC Historians agree that Britain's rise as a pre-eminent global power came as a response to changing circumstances and not as a part of a grand master plan; Britain, it has been said, stumbled into an empire. But the converse was also true: the dismantling of the British Empire wasn't a linear process involving a manageable and steady decline in its military and economic power; instead it had a haphazard muddling through quality. British leaders weren't aware that Rule Britannia was already history even after the fat lady had sung that it was over. Indeed, Prime Minister Winston Churchill who had led his nation into an impressive military victory in World War II, confident that the defeat of Nazi Germany would help save the British Empire, failed to recognize that the enormous military and economic costs of the war had actually created the conditions for the liquidation of the empire, starting with the withdrawal from Palestine and the "loss" of India after the war. But while the sun was setting on the British Empire, members of its political elite continued to live under the illusion that their nation had remained a paramount global power. If you traveled in a time machine to London 1949 and attended a debate in the British Parliament, browsed through the pages of the Times or listened to a BBC news program you would come across numerous references to Britain as a Great or "superpower,"; a term that was applied to the United States and the Soviet Union after World War II. And if you encountered diplomats in His and (after 1953) Her Majesty's Diplomatic Service and bankers in the City of London, you wouldn't be surprised if they continued to behave as though the world was still their domain to rule. It was the humiliating abandonment of the Anglo-French invasion of Suez in collusion with Israel in 1956 that proved to be the turning point in Britain's retreat from empire and ensured that London would never again attempt global military action without first securing the acquiescence of Washington. The time lag between the effective end of the British Empire and the recognition that indeed it was all over, proved to be quite lengthy. The concept of "recognition lag" is familiar to economists. It refers to the time lag between when an actual economic shock, such as a sudden boom or bust, occurs and when it is recognized by economists, central bankers and the government, like when officials signal a recession in the economy several months after it has actually begun. And just like changes in economic conditions, changes in the global status and power of nations, are not always immediately apparent, especially to the politicians and the generals who yield that power and to the journalists who cover them. That the elites continue to share such misconceptions about their nation's ability to exert global influence has less to do with the power of inertia and more with the vested interests they have in maintaining the status-quo that could be threatened by challenges at home and abroad. While no one is comparing the global political, economic and military status of the United States to that of Great Britain after World War II, there is an eerie resemblance between the resistance of officials, lawmakers and pundits in London 1949 and that of their contemporary counterparts in Washington 2009 to adjust their nation's foreign policies to the changing global balance of power. That may explain why so many members of the US foreign policy establishment seem to be so depressed in face of the Obama Administration's current difficulties in dictating global developments, ranging from the military quagmires in Iraq and Afghanistan, Iran's nuclear aspirations and the deadlocked Israel/Palestine peace process to the stalled negotiations on global trade liberalization (the Doha Round), the efforts to reach an international agreement on climate change and the global financial imbalances between the US and China. Where is US leadership on this or that global policy issue? Why can't the Obama Administration "do something" to resolve this or that international crisis? As expected, neoconservative critics depict President Barack Obama as an idealistic peacenik, if not a 1930's-style appeaser. They blame the perceived erosion in US' ability to call the shots around the world on Obama's alleged failure to stand-up to Russia (by abandoning the missile shield program in Eastern Europe), to Iran (by trying to engage it), to Venezuela (by shaking hands with Hugo Chavez) and to Al Qaeda (by overturning torture practices), and on his supposed betrayal of allies (Israel, Georgia, Poland, the Czech Republic). Not to mention Obama's refusal to launch new crusades against Islamofascism, to promote the Freedom Agenda in the Greater Middle East and to annoy the commies in Beijing on a regular basis. "...there is an eerie resemblance between the resistance of officials, lawmakers and pundits in London 1949 and that of their contemporary counterparts in Washington 2009 to adjust their nation's foreign policies to the changing global balance of power." That's rich coming from the guys at the Weekly Standard and the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). After all, it was the mess that the Bush administration, guided by these neoconservatives, had made in the Greater Middle East - where US military power was overstretched to the maximum, and where American policies helped strengthen Iran and its surrogates in Iraq, Lebanon and Palestine - coupled with the dramatic loss of American financial resources, that has produced a long-term transformation in the balance of power in the Middle East and worldwide, and has significantly eroded Washington's geo-strategic and geo-economic clout. In fact, the increasing wariness of the American public regarding new US military interventions, as a consequence of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the expanding US deficits would have made it difficult even for a President John McCain to promote an aggressive US policy in the Middle East and elsewhere. That Obama finds it so difficult to press Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu, Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Afghanistan's Hamid Karzai to change their policies may have to do with the fact that unlike many of the elites in Washington, the above and other foreign leaders have succeeded in deconstructing the current geo-strategic reality and recognized that the global balance of power has been shifting and that US ability to exert its diplomatic and military leverage over them has been constrained. Let's hope that these changes will also be recognized in Washington as soon as possible, and that unlike the leaders of the British Empire, those in charge of Pax Americana will have enough time to readjust to the new global reality. Regards, Leon T. Hadar for The Daily Reckoning Editor's Note: The above piece was originally published in The Huffington Post and has been republished with permission. Leon T. Hadar is a foreign policy research fellow at the Cato Institute and author of Quagmire: America in the Middle East. He is also former UN bureau chief for The Jerusalem Post and is currently Washington correspondent for the Singapore Business Times. His analyses have appeared in The New York Times, Washington Post, Foreign Affairs, and interviews on CNN, Fox News, the BBC and elsewhere. He is a graduate of Hebrew University in Jerusalem, earned MA degrees from Columbia University, and his Ph.D. from American University. You can buy his book, Quagmire: America in the Middle East, by clicking here. --------------------- Special Offer --------------------------- Imagine if you were a "Clockwork Millionaire". That means bringing in simple triple-digit profits, again and again. Like clockwork. You could enjoy a limitless stream of cash that rolls in every single year, for the rest of your life... With just one easy trade a week - the play even comes on the same day around the same time. And we have the track record to back it up - no losing picks in three years! Get all the info here. The Daily Reckoning - Special Reports: History of Financial Disasters: Will you be Wiped Out? US Recession: By far the Weakest Recovery "THE GREAT AMERICAN RECOVERY RP-OFF" Brace yourself for what's about to go down as the BIGGEST FINANCIAL SWINDLE in world history. AGORA Financial Resources: The Daily Reckoning Is: Economics & Politics Crisis & Opportunity Gold, Oil & Energy Growth, Tech & Medical Options Investing Founder: Bill Bonner Editorial Director: Addison Wiggin Publisher: Rocky Vega Managing Editor: Kate Incontrera Web Editor: Greg Kadajski About The Daily Reckoning: Now in its 10th anniversary year, The Daily Reckoning is the flagship e-letter of Baltimore-based financial research firm and publishing group Agora Financial, a subsidiary of Agora Inc. The Daily Reckoning provides over half a million subscribers with literary economic perspective, global market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. Published daily in six countries and three languages, each issue delivers a feature-length article by a senior member of our team and a guest essay from one of many leading thinkers and nationally acclaimed columnists.

Taipan Daily: Here's one government cover-up that works in your favor

Dear Taipan Daily reader, On the surface, it looks like the government is doing everything it can to help the little guy out. Approving billions in stimulus funds... "Cash for Clunkers"... tax credits for first-time homebuyers. And just recently Ben Bernanke claimed, "The recession is over." Really Ben? There are still millions of people out of work. The $787 billion in stimulus money has yet to trickle down to small companies... even large ones, for that matter. Pending legislation for the newly created Consumer Financial Protection Agency has already been revised to benefit banks and financial institutions. And based on new research from Michael Robinson, our group's award-winning investigative writer, there's a government cover-up happening right under your nose. Michael exposes what's really happening and how the outcome could not only impact America's chances of economic recovery, but you personally. In fact, he's found a way for you to become $97,500 richer by following the steps he outlines. Details are in the report. Please read it. Even if you decide to do nothing at all, you'll at least appreciate knowing about this next government cover-up. Sandy Franks Executive Publisher, Taipan Daily

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Special Investigative Exposé "The $50 Billion Shadow Syndicate" How a Ruthless Government Conspiracy Could Make You $97,500 Richer by March 2010 *(The following true story will make you mad as hell. It could also make you very rich...) Dear Reader, At this moment, a secret U.S. government-backed syndicate is CANNIBALIZING American jobs... crushing hope for a sustained economic recovery... and setting up the single most lucrative investment opportunity of the past 83 years. If things pan out the way I expect... folks who ACT NOW can avoid catastrophic market loss... AND pocket a potential $97,500 (or more) by March 2010. Not only is this outcome likely, I believe it's a near certainty. You'll understand why in just a moment... By following the detailed instructions in this Report... ... you'll give yourself a very real chance to CRAM a decade's worth of wealth-building into a few short weeks. I can't emphasize enough how extraordinarily unique this situation is. In fact, the last time an opportunity this explosive... and this lucrative... came along was in 1933... ... right in the middle of the Great Depression... ... when a similar U.S. government "conspiracy" sent tiny military contractor EBC soaring 55,000%... turning a handful of people into multimillionaires. Folks who got in early had the chance to turn a $5,000 investment into $2.5 million. The opportunity I've uncovered today offers similar riches. And while a 55,000% return might take a while... ... folks who get in now -- on the GROUND FLOOR -- could be $97,500 richer by March 2010. Maybe a whole lot more... There is one catch, however... When I first uncovered this situation, I was a bit skeptical. After all, "crackpot" conspiracy theories come a dime a dozen, and they're hard to take seriously... But... because of the astronomical profit potential surrounding this case... I decided to take a closer look. I've spent the past six months working undercover... behind the scenes... digging into the facts. And, after months of due diligence... I've determined that not only is this situation REAL... but it could also alter your family's financial status for generations to come. Even a modest investment of $500 could reap tremendous rewards. But here's the thing... During my months of investigation, we've hit a "trigger point"... things are moving fast... and you must ACT NOW to capture maximum profit potential. I wish I could have given you more time... but as a matter of policy, I had to be absolutely certain of the FACTS before I went public with this shocking story. Bottom line: Time is short, and it's essential that you act now to avoid missing out. But I'm getting ahead of myself, and the background story is utterly amazing... Take No Prisoners! 30 Years in the Undercover Trenches My name, by the way, is Michael Robinson. I'm a Special Investigative Correspondent for Taipan Publishing Group, an investment research service based in Baltimore, Md., since 1989. If my name sounds familiar, maybe it's because you caught me live on the Larry King show... Or perhaps you read one of my investigative exposés in The Wall Street Journal, Investors' Business Daily, or The New York Times. I cut my journalism teeth in the Watergate Era, and I've spent much of the past 30 years working undercover... digging into corruption... and bringing truth to American investors. I was profiled by the Columbia Journalism Review for my aggressive "take-no-prisoners" style of reporting... ... and even nominated for a Pulitzer Prize. In fact, while on assignment for the Oakland Tribune, I won an award for a groundbreaking story on a controversial new drug by Chiron Corp. I also won an award for an investigative series I did on the United Auto Workers (UAW) and Detroit's corrupt workers' compensation system. As the author of Overdrawn: The Bailout of American Savings, I was instrumental in uncovering a SCANDAL at Bank of America that led to the dismissal of two executive vice presidents. I don't tell you all this to brag... but so you will understand that I've spent the past three decades in the undercover trenches... I've developed an extensive network of inside sources and contacts... and when it comes to ferreting out the truth... I know what I'm doing. Today, I'm excited to bring you the most important -- and intriguing -- story of my career. Not only could this story help you avoid devastating financial pain... it could also pad your pockets with a phenomenal profit... a profit that could erase your money worries permanently... Let me give you the details... Steering, Collusion and the U.S. Government My investigation began back in February 2009 when I started looking into the relationship between private sector contractors and the U.S. government agencies they serve. With the massive $787 billion stimulus package (American Reinvestment & Recovery Act) being doled out... rumors of contract steering and collusion were rampant... My source close to the U.S. Department of Justice indicated a wave of potential "bid-rigging" was close at hand. Not surprising... After all, in Washington, D.C., the line between the private sector and government officials is often blurred by favors, special interests and campaign donations. It's just the way things get done in Washington... And quite frankly, any time you have big money being paid out by the federal government... corruption is never far behind. Now, I must admit, my interest in government spending is not just about justice... ... it's also about PROFITS! You see, when the U.S. government starts funneling money into a private firm... it can make shareholders very, very rich. It doesn't matter if the contract is a result of steering, collusion, special interest influence, or all of the above. The simple fact is this: When the U.S. government gets behind a private company... when the U.S. government awards a small firm a big contract... NEW MILLIONAIRES get minted at a phenomenal clip. In fact, some of the biggest private fortunes this country has ever seen were built on government contracts... and in many cases, inside connections were the key to success. The CIA Made Him Rich Oracle (ORCL:NASDAQ) is a perfect example... Back in 1977, computer programmer Larry Ellison used his government connections to land a contract from the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)... ... a contract that turned his small start-up firm into a multibillion-dollar technology powerhouse. Today, Ellison is one of the richest men in America, and people who got in on Oracle on the ground floor had a chance to turn a modest $5,000 into $1.2 million. Amgen (AMGN:NASDAQ) is another example... In 1989, Amgen used its inside connections to secure the government funding necessary to produce blockbuster drug EPO. Folks who invested in Amgen early had a chance to turn $7,750 into $4.5 million... And then there was Electric Boat Company (EBC)... Back in the early 1900s, The New York Times ran headline after headline about EBC's use of illegal government influence to land submarine contracts. The charges were never proven, but EBC did land a Navy contract in 1933... and subsequently soared 55,000%. Think about it... People with the foresight to buy shares of EBC in the early days had a chance to turn a $5,000 investment into $2.75 million. Bottom line: The U.S. government is a moneymaking force like no other. It literally has the power to print money... and when it starts throwing its financial might behind a small start-up firm... a wave of new millionaires is never far behind. That's exactly where we stand today... The stimulus bill is about to send an unprecedented tidal wave of federal funding into the private sector. Now, a bunch of the money will go to big established firms like Dell, Microsoft, Oracle and Hewlett-Packard. Good investments, no doubt. Problem is, these companies are already too big to make investors any real money. But here's the thing: While much of the stimulus money will be given to the "old boys' network" of corporate giants... ... a major chunk of the funding has found its way into the hands of a tiny military contractor. I can tell you right now, this stock is the next government-backed millionaire-maker. The company has an exceptional product... but its real asset (as you will see in a moment) is its INSIDE CONNECTION to the U.S. government... ... an INSIDE CONNECTION that will likely send its share price soaring very soon. The best part? This company is completely off the radar. It is virtually unknown. This makes it the PERFECT ground-floor opportunity. Now, I must confess, when I began my investigation, I was in the dark about this company... and started off down the wrong path. In fact, I began by looking at the "infrastructure/construction" industry. BIG MISTAKE. Thankfully, I wasn't 24 hours into my investigation when the story took a surprising turn... a turn that could make YOU very wealthy, very soon. Let me explain... "They're Leading You Astray..." As you may know, the $787 billion stimulus package was designed to revive America's struggling economy. If you follow the mainstream press, the buzzword tied to the stimulus package is "infrastructure." The idea being that by showering billions of dollars into re-building America's roads, bridges, ports, waterways and sewers... the government will create jobs, and spark an economic revival. At first glance, the idea makes sense. After all, it worked for Roosevelt, right? WRONG! According to the Washington, D.C., "spin doctors"... the New Deal lifted America out of the Great Depression. Of course, that story line should have been a clear WARNING "infrastructure" was a DECOY... ... because the truth is, the New Deal DID NOT lift America out of the Great Depression. Most historians agree that World War II put an end to the Great Depression. But, like most Americans hoping for a quick recovery... I bought into the idea that the government stimulus program was all about building new roads, creating jobs, and making the economy better again. So, as I began my investigation, my focus was on infrastructure... That all changed on July 23, 2009, at 2:34 p.m. when I received a text message from my inside source, whom I'll call "Branson" (not his real name). Michael -- They're leading you astray. Infrastructure is a decoy. The real story is GSA#: GSOOQ09BGD. Regards, Branson Now, Branson is a retired U.S. Marine... he saw action in Korea, Vietnam... received a handful of battlefield promotions... and won several medals for valor, including a Purple Heart. He's also one of the most hard-nosed, aggressive investigative reporters in Washington, D.C. Because of his military background, as well as his extensive network of inside contacts at the Department of Defense (DOD)... Branson has access to information most people never hear about. In fact, over the past 30 years, he's used his connections to break several stories involving covert KGB weapons programs... Soviet arms violations... and even Reagan's Star Wars program. Bottom line: Branson knows Washington's information backchannels like nobody in the business. He has also made untold riches investing in small government contractors BEFORE they hit it big. Needless to say, Branson's message got my blood pumping... and sent me in a completely unexpected (and lucrative) direction... The next day, I made a beeline to the U.S. Recovery Accountability and Transparency Board... where all the information regarding stimulus spending is housed. What I found made me furious... After digging into the records, I discovered that the REAL WINNER in the stimulus package is NOT infrastructure. Not by a long shot. And it's NOT America's workforce... And it's NOT the U.S. economy... The real winner is a powerful syndicate with a very dangerous agenda... an agenda that will likely make YOU a pile of money -- as much as $97,500 or more -- by March 2010. Let me explain... The New World Order If you ever wondered who REALLY makes the rules in Washington, D.C., I can tell you it's NOT the politicians. The people who really make the rules are the special interest groups... who fund political campaigns. Is this fair? Of course not. Think about it... Money -- billions of dollars -- can be shifted from one sector of the economy to another... by a simple government decision. The sectors with the most power and influence... get what they want... often at the expense of American taxpayers. Bottom line: the powerful, wealthy and well connected reap the big government rewards while ordinary citizens are left to fend for themselves. When Bush was in the White House, the oil and defense sectors had a lot of sway. Companies like Halliburton ruled the roost. That's all changed... In fact, the new power in Washington is a powerful technology syndicate composed of high-tech CEOs, lobbyists, Wall Street financiers, and, of course, the United States military... According to The New York Times, "What oil was to [the Bush Administration]... technology [is] to the Obama White House." In other words, while Bush administration policy was heavily under the influence of oil firms like Halliburton... it is the technology sector that is now calling the shots in D.C. And make no mistake: The government is head over heels in love with technology. In fact, Obama has created a new cabinet level position -- a Tech Czar -- to oversee the build-up of technology in America. This shouldn't surprise anyone. Obama is a huge fan of technology and even refused to give up his BlackBerry when he took office. "The power the technology sector has on policy decisions is staggering," explains financial author Justice Litle. "And the influence tech now has on government funding -- billions and billions of dollars -- is utterly mind-boggling." Of course, this has not happened by chance. Bloomberg reports that a "stampede" of technology companies have hired high-powered insiders in Washington to gain influence on government decision-making. And CNet reports the high-tech industry has been flooding Capitol Hill with money and lobbyists. "The new administration has rapidly changed the focus... in Washington, much to the advantage of Google and other Silicon Valley power-houses," explains the National Journal. Campaign finance records show that executives at technology firms were BIG CONTRIBUTORS to the Obama campaign... and that the tech industry was working to shape the stimulus package even BEFORE Obama took office. The effort is clearly paying off... According to The New York Times, the tech industry has its fingerprints all over the stimulus package. In fact, a close look at the 1,000 page stimulus bill reveals that technology pulled in far more funding than infrastructure, healthcare or any other program. "The biggest outlay [of funding] is... a technology wish-list," reports The New York Times. Bottom line: The government is about to rain billions down on the tech industry... And the tiny stock I'm going to tell you about is perhaps the biggest winner of all. I wouldn't be surprised to see its share price soar in the next six months... making early investors very rich. Now, you may be wondering... isn't that good for America? Won't government spending create jobs? Won't it revive the economy? I realize on the surface, big technology spending sounds like a win-win situation... a good deal for everyone. But the truth is, technology spending will spark a "shadow recovery"... a recovery that LOOKS REAL at first glance... but ultimately disappears, leaving millions of Americans in severe financial pain. Let me explain... Technology's Dark Side If you follow the financial news, you know the tech industry is NOTORIOUS for eliminating American jobs. In fact, in recent years, technology firms have OUTSOURCED millions of American jobs to foreign countries. According to CNN's Lou Dobbs, more than 1,000 U.S. companies have sent American jobs overseas or chose to employ cheap overseas labor instead of American workers. "An estimated 400,000 - 500,000 jobs a year being exported to cheap overseas labor markets," explains Dobbs. Powerful technology firms like Oracle, Dell, Microsoft, Intel, Hewlett-Packard, Yahoo, Google and many more are on Dobbs' list of prominent outsourcers. Why? Why would a high-tech CEO want to do away with American jobs? Simple. Because the job of the CEO is to CREATE PROFITS... NOT JOBS. If a CEO could get by without any labor costs... he'd do it. And here's the thing: When it comes to stealing American jobs, NEW TECHNOLOGY is even more ruthless than outsourcing. You see, modern technology has become so sophisticated... it is replacing human workers at a frenetic pace. Why? Same reason outsourcing stole American jobs: Lower costs = Higher profits. Think about it... Technology doesn't take sick days. Technology doesn't need health insurance. Technology doesn't file lawsuits. Technology doesn't go on vacation. Technology doesn't eat or sleep. It just works... 24 hours a day... 7 days a week... on and on and on. By replacing human workers with technology, companies are able to DO MORE with LESS COST. That means higher profits... Good for the CEOs, Wall Street financiers, and politicians looking for some good economic news. But BAD for millions of Americans who are watching their jobs disappear permanently. "The bosses are in a race to make more profits and reduce their labor costs; they do this by bringing in technology to replace workers," explains Fred Goldstein of Workers World. The Christian Science Monitor agrees, reporting that technology is set to overhaul the service industry, and that in the next few years, technology will take over jobs and replace human workers. And the United Nations (UN) confirms the facts, stating that technology is taking an increasing number of jobs. From automated gas pumps to bank ATMs to self-service checkout lanes at major retailers, service jobs already are being replaced by technology on a scale of obvious magnitude. "The problem is that [technology] will eliminate jobs in massive numbers," explains Marshall Brain, founder and CEO of How Stuff Works. "In fact, we are about to see a seismic shift in the American workforce. As a nation, we have no way to understand or handle the level of unemployment that we will see in our economy over the next several decades." Lean production -- the reorganization of work through speed-up, new technology, and job combination and "redesign" -- allows corporations to increase output, lower costs, and raise profits without hiring additional workers. And here's the thing: As one company begins replacing workers with technology, other companies MUST follow suit in order to keep their costs competitive. Same thing happened with outsourcing... Lou Dobbs puts it in perspective: "Privately many CEOs say to me: 'If everybody else would stop it, I'd be delighted to end it. Until that happens we have to protect our profit margin.' That's a shame." It's a vicious cycle that will ultimately crush all hopes for a sustained recovery. It could also make you a pile of money -- as much as $97,500 or more -- in the next six months. By pouring billions of dollars into technology, the U.S. government is sparking a "shadow recovery." It looks real at first glance, but ultimately, it will vanish. We are already seeing this happen... Unprecedented Evaporation of Wealth The government hails the "signs of recovery." But their good news is in the form of higher corporate earnings and "productivity." Unfortunately, earnings and productivity are up because labor costs (jobs) are being cut at a relentless pace. And here's the thing: A real sustainable recovery is driven by jobs, consumer confidence and spending. In fact, according to Reuters, consumer spending fuels two-thirds of all economic activity in the United States. Without consumer spending, the recovery will never gain any sustainable momentum. That's because when people have jobs and believe the economy is getting better... they SPEND MONEY.... which in turn helps the economy get better. But that's NOT what is happening... In August 2009, jobless claims ROSE, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. And The Washington Post reports most economists predict UNEMPLOYMENT will hit 10% before year's end... "This is awful. A reality check," says Ian Shepherson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics. "People are cash-constrained and credit-starved. Remember, [consumer] spending accounts for 89% of private sector GDP." Bottom line: The U.S. government is hailing a recovery. But the "recovery" is based on corporate profits... NOT jobs or spending. Massive technology spending will only serve to accelerate the crisis... ultimately the recovery will fall apart. And make no mistake: When this recovery disappoints, investors are going to be more frightened than ever. Money is going to fly out of the stock market at a record clip... The only companies left standing will be those propped up by massive government spending. That's why I'm so excited about the tiny stock I mentioned earlier. Get in now, and this company could deliver a $97,500 payday in the next six months. Play this situation correctly, and you may never have to work again. So... is this opportunity suitable for you? Well, the question you need to ask yourself is this: How Much MONEY Do You Want to Make...? There are two main ways to play the government spending boom in technology. And your strategy depends on your objective. Are you looking for slow, steady returns? If so, I would suggest you own shares of Dell, Oracle, Microsoft and Hewlett-Packard. These corporate behemoths have been getting government contracts for years... and that's going to continue. They are all solid and will return annual gains of 10 - 12%. Not bad considering the rest of the stock market will likely drop another 25% by January 2010. But here's the thing: Companies like Dell and Oracle are enormous... They've already had their big run. They've already made people rich. But buying them now really won't alter your financial status. The key to making a fortune from today's government spending is to hitch yourself to the "next Oracle." You need to get in early... on the ground floor. That's the exact opportunity you have today. You see, by following up on Branson's tip, I've uncovered a tiny military contractor -- a little-known stock -- that I believe is the NEXT tech home-run sensation. In fact, if you could only invest in one company for the next five years... this would be the one. Not only does it provide a critical service... but because of its INSIDE CONNECTIONS... ... it is looking at a virtually unlimited backlog of GOVERNMENT FUNDING... a backlog of government funding that could launch this stock by March 2010. Get in now, and you could be very wealthy, very soon. Let me show you why this is not only likely, but a near certainty... America's Electronic Backbone As I mentioned before, technology has taken its place as a force in Washington. In part because of the money and influence it wields. But there's another reason. You see, over the last few years, technology has become essential to the survival of the United States. Technology is so entrenched in our lives, we simply can't do without it. Every aspect of our country relies on technology to operate safely and efficiently. And the government knows it... While in Washington, I was able to get my hands on a Special Briefing (GAO-O4-321) put out by the U.S. Government Accountability Office. Check out what they say regarding technology... Our nation's critical infrastructures include those assets, systems, and functions vital to our national security, economic need, or national public health and safety. Critical infrastructures encompass a number of sectors, including many basic necessities of our daily lives, such as food, water, public health, emergency services, energy, transportation, information technology and banking and finance, telecommunications, postal services and shipping. All of these critical infrastructures increasingly rely on computers and networks for their operations... Computers and networks essentially run the critical infrastructures that are vital to our national defense, economic security, and public health and safety. Unfortunately, many computer systems and networks were not designed with security in mind. As a result, the core of our critical infrastructure is riddled with vulnerabilities that could enable an attacker to disrupt operations or cause damage. Defending against attacks on our information technology infrastructure -- cybersecurity -- is a major concern of both the government and the private sector. Let me sum this up for you: The U.S. government is saying that our entire country relies on technology. And because of the increasing threat of cyber attacks, EVERYTHING also relies on cybersecurity. In fact, cybersecurity has become America's backbone. Without it, spies, foreign enemies, al-Qaida, or even homegrown terrorists could sabotage critical operations. Cyber attacks have increased 15,000% in the last few years... Bottom line: Cybersecurity has become essential to every aspect of modern life. And here's the critical thing you need to understand: Every project, every initiative in the stimulus package requires cybersecurity. You want to build a smart grid? You need cybersecurity. You want to build a toll road? You need cybersecurity... You want to digitize medical records in the healthcare industry? You need cybersecurity. That's why the company I'm tracking today is so lucrative... and why I'm certain its stock price is about to explode. Here are the details on this remarkable company... The One and Only... As you probably guessed, the company I'm tracking today provides cybersecurity services. But here's the thing: While its service is top-notch, its REAL ASSET is its CEO. This company is a perfect example of the power and importance inside connections play in Washington. In fact, because of its new CEO's inside government connections, this company is going to hit the big time... while other companies that offer similar services are going to wither and die. Is that fair? Not really. But there is nothing you can do about it. What you can do is get on board, and rack up some serious money alongside the insiders. Let me give you the backstory... Until 2004, this company had ZERO government contracts. That all changed when its new CEO came on board. The CEO is a high-powered Washington, D.C. insider. In fact, using his inside government connections, he turned his former company into one of the 10 largest government contractors in the country... a multibillion-dollar success. He's doing it again... The new CEO has transformed the company... landing it government contract after government contract. It now has cozy relationships -- and lucrative contracts -- with powerful U.S. government agencies, including: Department of Defense (DOD) U.S. Army U.S. Navy U.S. Air Force NASA Department of Education General Services Administration (GSA) Department of Transportation Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) Department of Homeland Security U.S. Postal Service And many more... Bottom line: These guys are sitting on a gold mine of government money. And here's the kicker... And Here's the Kicker... On March 27, 2009... just about a month after the stimulus bill was signed... this company was named as a recipient of a $50 billion contract... called the GSA Alliant Contract. The Alliant Contract is the largest government technology contract ever awarded... Please understand: In my 30 years covering the federal government, I've never seen anything like it. If you were to paint a dream scenario with a magic wand for a small IT contractor... this would be it. Not only can the Alliant Contract be used by the Department of Defense... but it can also be used by EVERY GOVERNMENT AGENCY in existence: Department of Education... Department of Transportation... Department of Agriculture... NASA... Homeland Security... U.S. Postal Service... Department of Health & Human Services... Doesn't matter who it is, or what they do... any government agency can use this contract to spend money on cybersecurity... And get this: Even though it is SEPARATE from the stimulus bill... the Alliant Contract can draw funds from the stimulus bill. That means it is backed up by a $787 billion government windfall... In addition, the contract is a $50 billion "indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity contract." And, according to sources, the contract can be extended as needed, depending on how much money pours in from the stimulus package. That sounds like an open bar tab! The point is this: Thanks to its inside connections, this tiny company just got a first-class ticket to easy street. I've already told you how Oracle landed a government contract and people who got in early could have turned $5,000 into $1.25 million. I also told you how Amgen got government funding and people who got in early could have turned $7,750 into $4.5 million. And I told you how EBC got a government contract and people who got in early could have turned $5,000 into $2.75 million. The company I'm tracking today could put those winnings to shame... In coming weeks, as news of the tiny company I'm tracking hits the mainstream press... shares could skyrocket. The only question: How high will they go? How High Could They Go? This company is tiny... only about a $100 million market cap. Now, "market cap" is just a measure of a company's market value. It basically determines how much the company would sell for on the open market. In this case, the company could be purchased for $100 million. Compare that to Oracle's market cap of $100 BILLION... or Microsoft's market cap of $200 BILLION... and it's easy to see that any number of big tech firms could swallow this tiny company whole without batting an eye. And that's exactly what I believe is about to happen. The company I'm tracking today is poised to become the target of a serious bidding war that will make early investors rich. A company like Oracle could buy this stock for $3 billion and still be getting a deal. Why? Because this tiny company holds the keys to the Government Funding Kingdom. It provides an essential service, and was named as a recipient of a $50 billion government contract. That makes it worth a boatload of money to big firms looking to get a piece of the government pie. Let me ask you this: Would you pay $3 billion to get your hands on a $50 billion contract? You sure would! And here's the thing: A $3 billion buyout could send a $100 million company soaring 30-fold. Already, indications of a buyout are emerging. Listen to this... Insider Buyout Frenzy! While in Washington, I took a look at SEC records -- particularly the "Form 4" for this tiny stock. The SEC Form 4 indicates buying and selling patterns for a public company's insiders. What I found confirmed my suspicions about an emerging buyout opportunity. In fact, the company's insiders have been BUYING shares of their own stock at a frenetic pace... typically a strong indicator a buyout could be imminent. And get this: On March 31, 2009... just four days after the company was awarded its big government contract... the company's president of Government Solutions (talk about a guy with inside government connections and information!) bought over 108,000 shares... And on September 2, 2009... a second insider with the company bought a stunning 1,320,000 shares... Think about that... WHY in the world would one insider grab up over 100,000 shares... and another buy an astounding 1,320,000 shares? Only one reason: These guys are behind the scenes and likely KNOW a buyout is in the works... And here's the thing: You can get in today for a fraction of this company's full value... Imagine buying shares of this stock ... only to wake up in a few months and find your shares worth 3... 5... even 10 times what you paid! But you gotta move fast... I'm urging readers of my investment newsletter, BreakAway Investor, to get in now, and I suggest you do the same. 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With Taipan Insider, you have an indispensable tool that will give you the inside scoop on global trends so you can profit before the rest of the investment herd comes rushing in. But most important: As a BreakAway Investor subscriber, you'll get cutting-edge investment information that will put you head and shoulders above 99.99% of people on the planet. Now you may be wondering: How much does all this cost? Well, that's the best part... As you may know, investment research services can cost $1,000 or more per year. In fact, I personally know people who pay well over $5,000 per year for seemingly the exact information you're going to get from BreakAway Investor. And normally, BreakAway Investor has an annual subscription fee of a very reasonable $145. But, if you reply within the next three days... you'll lock in a special subscription fee of just $49 for a full year of BreakAway Investor. That means for about 14 cents per day, you'll get cutting-edge investment information that costs some people over $5,000. I think you'll agree: That's a flat-out bargain. And because I want to make this a "no-brainer" for you... I'm going to go a step further to make sure you're absolutely comfortable trying BreakAway Investor. Here's my personal pledge: 100% Guarantee Remember, the company's president of Government Solutions recently bought shares of the stock for $2.74. Do you think for a second he'd do that if he didn't think the stock was about to go significantly higher? Even if the stock only makes it to $2 per share, you'd double your money. If it gets to the level where the company insider bought it ($2.74), you'd nearly triple your money. A modest $500 investment would double to $1,000... or even triple to $1,500. And in my opinion, that would be a disappointing return. So here's the deal: If this stock recommendation doesn't at least DOUBLE in the next 12 months, I'll give you a full refund. That means you either get the chance to DOUBLE your money on this recommendation... or you get your $49 subscription fee back. And listen: If at any time during the first 90 days -- for any reason -- you are unhappy with your BreakAway Investor subscription... just say the word! I'll send you a check to cover every penny of your subscription expense... NO QUESTIONS ASKED! And after the first 90 days, if you're not happy, I'll REFUND EVERY PENNY of the unused portion of your subscription. Again -- no questions asked! And even if you decide to take a 100% refund, you keep everything I send you, including the Special Report "Make 2,400% From the Government Technology Jackpot!"... PLUS the Special Bonus Reports... FREE! You have absolutely nothing to lose. And your potential upside on this opportunity is enormous. But you must move quickly... because word of this opportunity is starting to leak out... and big institutions are starting to get on board. In fact, T. Rowe Price is holding a multimillion-share position... this stock could double or even triple in the coming weeks... and in the next 12 months, a 2,400% gain is very possible. Things are going to move fast, and you need to get in position now to ensure full profit potential. So please, take just a moment to reserve your space by clicking the Order Now button below. But please do it now! This opportunity won't wait, and I'd hate to see you miss out. Sincerely, Michael Robinson Editor, BreakAway Investor September 2009 P.S. My source indicates that this stock is starting to move... here's your chance to pocket 2,400%. But this is for folks who act now. Please don't miss out...