Sunday, November 29, 2009

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Saturday, November 28, 2009

Gold Has A Broken Supply/Demand Curve

Dear IDE Reader

According to basic economic principals, when the price of gold increases (as it has for eight straight years) supply should also increase. After all, that's when producers make the most money.

But this scenario isn't playing out. Despite an ever-increasing demand for gold, production has fallen every year this decade.

When the supply of gold is choked off like this, prices can only go one way. That's straight up.

With demand rising and supplies falling, conditions are ideal right now for serious gains to be made. But you must act fast. There is no guarantee that prices in this niche market will stay this low for much longer.

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Best Wishes,

Christian Hill
Managing Editor
Investor's Daily Edge

A Faith-Based Recovery

Celebrating A Decade of Reckoning
US Edition Home Contributors Media & Testimonials archives DR's 10th Anniversary DR's 10th Anniversary
The Daily Reckoning Weekend Edition
Saturday, November 28, 2009
Taipei, Taiwan

  • And where gold stops, nobody knows (well, maybe these guys do),
  • Six reasons not to believe in the frantic recovery hype,
  • Plus Bill Bonner on the sovereign debt mega-bubble and much more...
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Joel Bowman, with some cheery holiday words from Taipei, Taiwan...

Today we have something extraordinary for you to ponder. We call it, in the prescribed, politico-doublespeak of the times, a "recovery." Allow us to elaborate for just a moment...

A "recovery," as defined by the same economic talent that led us into mass speculative temptation in the first place, is a magical reversal of fortunes for the global economy.

What is this recovery based on? Glad you asked, because here comes the extraordinary is underpinned by the hysterical, back-slapping delusion that comes from accepting that there is, in fact, a recovery. It is real, in other words, because we are told it is real.

Convinced yet?

As the late astronomer, Carl Sagan, was fond of saying, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." In the absence of such evidence, let us examine the faith-based foundation on which the stability of the world's largest economy now rests.

Below are a few tenets all sworn Recoverites must accept, any and all evidence to the contrary be damned:

1. That a consumer economy can continue to grow exponentially, even as the consumers themselves are forced to economize...

Where once manufacturing, innovation and a solid savings base held sturdy the US economy, there is now consumption, a waning service industry and a fiscally constipating accumulation of debt.

With household liabilities as a percentage of disposable income running at almost 130% for the average American family, and official unemployment bubbling over a 26-year peak of 10.2%, it's tough going at the mall...even for the mighty US consumer...and even after the government has bribed him to go out and spend!

Already GDP estimates for the September quarter were revised downward - from 3.5% to 2.8% - after it became clear that the effects of the Cash for Clunkers program - the governmental equivalent of economic Viagra - had worn off sooner than expected. Barely had the poor consumer got his pants off and his wallet out when his many embarrassing deficits became all too apparent.

2. That the notices of liability printed by the Feds - commonly referred to as "greenbacks" - will enjoy the infinite confidence and unyielding patience of the nation's foreign creditors...

For the past year we have heard rumblings from the BRIC nations, in particular China, over the government-sponsored debasement of the greenback. Most recently, Liu Mingkang, the Middle Kingdom's chief banking regulator, argued that the combination of a weak dollar with persistently low interest rates had encouraged a "huge carry trade" that was having a "massive impact on global asset prices."

It is no secret that "dollar alternatives" are openly discussed among large holders of US paper. So shaky is the dollar, in fact, that even a (briskly discredited) rumor in an English paper about OPEC nations ditching the buck sent the world's "reserve" currency into a tailspin, tipping off gold's current trailblazing rise - itself another indicator of fear and loathing of the once almighty buck.

(As we were jotting these few words, midweek, the greenback had just fallen below one Swiss franc for only the second time ever, reaching a 15-month low on the dollar index and approaching a 14-year low against the yen.)

3. That those creditors will continue to reinvest said monies back into the increasingly regulated and overtaxed US securities exchanges...

And that's to say nothing of the growing minority of American citizens and companies already, wisely, looking for ways to flee their own shores with the hope of doing business in more accommodating, less intrusive arenas.

4. That extorting money from current and future workers in order to allocate it to the nation's least efficient industries is a positive long-term strategy...

Over the past year, the government of the United States of America has pumped more money into its flailing economy than the total value of all the gold ever mined in world history...doubled.

Before we go on, let us remember that each and every one of those dollars - and the trillions more splashed around by the do-gooder interventionalists of the world - are dollars that are NOT now available to private citizens or the thousands of small businesses that might have benefited from a little extra cash during this whole crisis.

The true opportunity cost of this gross misallocation of vital resources will, of course, never be known. What is known, however, is that said bailouts helped the federal budget deficit along to a post WWII record of more than $1.4 trillion in fiscal 2009. Treasury officials warn the national debt limit of $12.1 trillion may be reached and breached by as early as December.

5. That those still purchasing stocks are better informed than the industries' insiders...

Insider selling increased during the latest week from $960 million in sales to over $1.39 billion. That compares with "buys" totaling just $160 million. The ratio of selling to buying has, at times during this stock market rally, stretched to as much as 31:1.

Is there something outsiders know that insiders don't? Unlikely.

6. And, that the geniuses who missed the warning signs of the biggest bust up in modern financial history are the most qualified to guide us out of it...

Even up until the very eve of the crisis, elected and unelected politicians assured those who knew better that the vast and plentiful risks to the financial industry were contained. Clearly, they were not. At every juncture since then, those leaders and others have sought to impose the very measures - currency debasement, deficit spending, increased state intervention, bailouts, nationalizations etc. - that history tells us lead to outright ruin.

Sir Isaac Newton - himself a man of faith...and a devout student of alchemy - once wrote, "If I have seen further it is only by standing on the shoulders of giants."

What is perhaps the most galling of this entire financial debacle is that, with the abundance of insightful economists history has granted us, today's leaders should appear proud to be seen standing on the shoulders of earthworms.

That, in itself, is something even the most delusional among us ought to have serious trouble believing in.

More below...

--- Gold Tops New Record: Here's A Hidden Way To Invest ---

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Even if Gold hits $2,000 by the end of this's a hidden way you can get in for less than one cent per ounce.

Over the next two years, you'll witness the greatest surge in gold prices in market history - at least 119% above where gold sits today, as I write this.

But even better, I've just discovered a way for you to sneak into the soaring gold market for next to nothing, with what I call "penny-per-ounce" gold.


ALSO THIS WEEK in The Daily Reckoning...

Golden Years
By Bill Bonner
London, England

Everyone knows what when wrong with sub-prime. When you lend money to people who can't pay it back, you're asking for trouble. So, if you're out of a job and looking for a sub-prime loan to buy a double-wide trailer you're out of luck. Bankers won't give you a dime. But now, the world's lenders are doing something just as dumb. They're lending to governments. Imagine you were a banker. And the US government comes to you for a loan.

Unscramble These Letters: MOLYBDENUM
By Chris Mayer
Gaithersburg, Maryland

The mere whiff of an economic recovery has sent the prices of many industrial metals soaring. A genuine recovery and/or inflationary trend will cause prices to soar even more. Heck, we may not even need much of a rebound. Current extraction rates of certain metal minerals imply we're going to see some big price moves

How to Invest in Gold Mania
By Jeff Clark
Stowe, Vermont

There's certain to be a rush into gold and silver, and buying before Main Street catches gold fever is the only way to play this trend. Because when Midas fever hits, prices will explode to the upside, for both the metals and the stocks.

Freak Show
By Bill Bonner
London, England

There are so many breathtaking things going on around us we practically suffocate. Last week, three-month US Treasury-bills yielded all of 0.015% interest. Some yields were below zero. In effect, investors gave the government money. The government thanked them and promised to give them back less money three months later. How do you explain this strange transaction? Was there a full moon?

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The Weekly Endnote: It would be criminal to keep you any longer on a holiday weekend. So we won't.

If you do wish to send us a comment on any of this week's issues, simply drop us a line at the address below. Aside from that...

Enjoy the holiday!


Joel Bowman
Managing Editor, The Daily Reckoning
The Daily Reckoning - Special Reports:

Gold: The Truth About Gold

Fiat Currency: Using the Past to See into the Future

"THE GREAT AMERICAN RECOVERY RP-OFF" Brace yourself for what's about to go down as the BIGGEST FINANCIAL SWINDLE in world history.

AGORA Financial Resources: The Daily Reckoning Is:

Economics & Politics
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Growth, Tech & Medical
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Founder: Bill Bonner
Editorial Dir: Addison Wiggin
Publisher: Eric Fry
Managing Ed.: Joel Bowman
Web Ed.: Greg Kadajski
About The Daily Reckoning: Now in its 10th anniversary year, The Daily Reckoning is the flagship e-letter of Baltimore-based financial research firm and publishing group Agora Financial, a subsidiary of Agora Inc. The Daily Reckoning provides over half a million subscribers with literary economic perspective, global market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. Published daily in six countries and three languages, each issue delivers a feature-length article by a senior member of our team and a guest essay from one of many leading thinkers and nationally acclaimed columnists.

What's happening beneath the surface of the news

Taipan Daily - a Service of Taipan Publishing Group
Home Page Whitelist us About Us Archives Investment Marketplace
Sat., November 28, 2009
Taipan Daily: What's happening beneath the surface of the news
by Sara Nunnally, Senior Research Director, Taipan Publishing Group

This week we celebrate an American holiday. We here at Taipan Publishing Group wish you and your loved ones a Happy Thanksgiving and a safe and fun extended weekend.

But even with the shortened trading week, there’s plenty happening that investors need to stay on top of. The Senate finally approved a healthcare-reform bill. Housing data showed that home sales are finally on the rise. Crude prices are falling (for now).

According to both Justice and Adam, not everything is as it seems. Read more about what’s happening beneath the surface below…

Crude Oil Is Roiling… On the Inside

According to Bloomberg, 10 out of 27 analysts think that oil prices will drop through the holiday weekend.

On the surface, oil demand here in the United States is so anemic that crude refineries are shutting down across the country. But below the waterline, Adam Lass writes, there are some major long-term moves being made by tomorrow’s key players: China and Africa. Adam equates these moves to icebergs. Find out all the dangers below the surface here…

Ready for the Financial Thrill Ride of Your Life?

Thanks to an SEC rule change, a hot niche market is cranking out stunning returns of 7,100%... 12,300%... even 13,900% in a single day. Follow this link now to get your share…

The Great Louisiana Healthcare Rip-Off

It’s business as usual in Washington as Louisiana Senator Mary Landrieu received an “old-fashioned cash-money bribe” for her vote for the Senate’s version of the healthcare reform bill, writes Justice Litle.

On the table was $300 million in “extra” federal money for her state.

Justice is calling this the new “Louisiana Purchase.” But that doesn’t mean everything is locked in. Justice explains how some healthcare holdouts have Democrats over a barrel here…

Of Roller Coasters and Mortgages

Roller coasters are only fun in amusement parks… When the markets start to feel like a roller coaster, it’s downright scary.

Justice says at the top of the coaster, investors are at “the point of maximum risk.” Here is where all investors are confident, even “euphoric.” But what comes after the top? The plunge. Investors feel fear, anxiety and then panic. But somewhere beyond panic – “before depression,” he says, there is “the point of maximum financial opportunity.”

Find out where the markets are on this roller coaster here…

Congratulations Keith!

Keith Fitz-Gerald's just-published book, Fiscal Hangover: Protect Your Money and Profit in the Global Economy, has hit #1 on Amazon's Finance and Investing list. Get Your Copy -- and save $10 off the publisher's price -- now.

Loans to Congress – The Untold Debt Story

If your congressman walked up to you this afternoon and asked you personally for a loan – would you consider lending him money? Would your answer change if he offered the full faith and credit of the United States as a guarantee on your principal?

Well, many investors today are saying "yes" to this request – possibly without fully understanding the risks involved.

How to Play the Biggest Economic Shift of Our Time

The rules of making money have changed – forever. With the collapse of investment banks, trillion-dollar-plus government bailouts, and the Dow plunging like a rock, it's never been more important to understand – and actually profit from – the "new rules."

This economic shift – the biggest in 200 years – is reshaping the U.S.'s role as a world financial leader. Not only that, it is changing the way average investors make money.

Investment Research Reports

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Friday, November 27, 2009

TARP, recovery and now ... this! A Free Press For A Free People
TARP, recovery and now ... this!

Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama signed a combined nearly $1.5 trillion in federal spending in the attempt to correct the nation's economic tailspin, but with unemployment soaring over 10 percent, Congress is gearing up to pass yet another economic "stimulus" package - this time for jobs - perhaps as soon as January.

Find out the latest right now at

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  • Church child abuse `scandal on astonishing scale'
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  • Forget gold, silver, invest it all in garlic
  • Man dug up wife's corpse `so he could hug her'
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In Case You Missed It

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Hey [firstname], what's happening?

A couple of weirdo underground guys who i've never
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They went on to tell me that ARTICLE MARKETING is
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The only problem with writing articles is that it
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These guys, Adeel Chowdhry and Bobby Walker, have
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My #1 Way to Profit as Wall Street Destroys Capitalism

My #1 Way to Profit as Wall Street Destroys Capitalism
Ann Coulter

Dear Fellow Conservative,

What if you discovered that the vet who takes care of your dog was Michael Vick? Would you think twice about bringing Fido back for his annual shots?

Or what if you discovered that your auto mechanic was a member of Greenpeace? Would you think twice about having him work on your SUV?

Of course you would. Just as, I hope, you would think twice about trusting your retirement savings to someone who secretly despised -- or simply didn't understand -- the free-market capitalist system that makes profits and prosperity possible.

Yet that, believe it or not, is exactly the position millions of Americans are finding themselves in today -- as they discover that Wall Street, far from being a stronghold of "rich Republicans" and "laissez-faire capitalists," is actually dominated by liberal Democrats who support, overwhelmingly, the prosperity-wrecking big-government policies of Barack Obama and his merry band of neo-socialists.

Think I'm exaggerating? Consider the following facts and statistics:
  • According to an analysis of Federal Election Commission records by the Center for Responsive Politics, the 2008 Obama campaign received $12.6 million from Wall Street "Securities and Investment" firms versus McCain's $7.9 million

  • The top three corporate employers of donors to Barack Obama, Joe Biden, and Rahm Emanuel were Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and JPMorgan

  • Employees of Lehman Brothers alone gave Obama $370,000, compared to about $117,000 to McCain. (No wonder Bush let them go under.)

  • Since 1998, the financial sector has given a total of $37.6 million to Obama, compared to $32.1 million to McCain. But Obama ran for his first national office only in 2004. So McCain got less from the financial industry in a decade that included two runs for president than Obama did in four years.

What's this all about? Well, you see, the financial industry takes care of Democrats -- and as we've seen in recent months, the Democrats take care of the financial industry. After all, it's a lot easier to get rich by taking money from taxpayers than to do it by choosing consistently profitable investments for your clients.

Fortunately, there is someone who can help you invest your money who is as financially savvy and devoted to the free-market system as today's Wall Streeters are financially illiterate and devoted to shaking down taxpayers.

His name is Mark Skousen, Ph.D., editor of the investment newsletter Forecasts & Strategies -- and he just might be the smartest financial advisor working today.

Skousen, after all, launched his career by predicting, during the 1980-82 recession -- and to the scornful laughter of nearly all the other so-called experts -- that "Reaganomics will work."

Boy, did he get that right. And boy, has he gotten it right ever since:
  • Just this past March he called the exact bottom of the market, telling his subscribers that "stocks are a screaming buy." In the four weeks following, the Dow soared a remarkable 24.5%.

  • In 2006 -- more than two years before the financial meltdown -- he warned subscribers that "we clearly are headed for fiscal disaster," and showed them how to protect themselves.

  • Just weeks before the NASDAQ collapsed in 2000, he warned his subscribers that tech stocks were dangerously overvalued.

  • He told his subscribers in 1995 that the NASDAQ would double, and then double again -- which is exactly what it did.

  • He called the Gulf War of 1990 "a turning point for U.S. stocks" -- and the Dow subsequently began a bull market that didn't end for nearly ten years.

  • And he issued a "sell everything" recommendation to his Forecasts & Strategies subscribers just 41 days before the stock market crash of 1987 -- then told them to get fully invested again several weeks later, just in time for the recovery.
It's because of calls like these, after nearly 30 years of publication, Forecasts & Strategies is still going strong, while literally hundreds of rival newsletters have gone the way of Janeane Garofalo's acting career.

And here's the best thing about Mark Skousen. He knows how to make you money even while President Obama is wrecking the economy with his "New New Deal."

After all, Dr. Skousen points out, the late billionaire John Templeton -- whom Money magazine called "the greatest stock-picker of the 20th century" -- began to build his vast fortune while FDR was wrecking the economy with his original New Deal.

Let's face it: Making money in Obama's America is about to get harder -- keeping it, harder still. So we can all use as much trustworthy financial advice as we can get. The best investment advice I know of, bar none, can be found in Mark Skousen's Forecasts & Strategies -- and I urge you, now more than ever, to give it a try.

Click here to learn more.


Ann Coulter

P.S. Mark has just revealed his 5 "secret" strategies to make you 50% Richer in the next two years. I urge you to take a look at what Mark Skousen has to offer and get the full details on Forecasts & Strategies today.

Click here to learn more.

Buchanan: Our Pushover President

Human Events
Patrick J. Buchanan Patrick J. Buchanan
Weekly Newsletter
Pat Buchanan is one of the most principled conservatives in the movement. Below you will find his latest articles.

Our Pushover President
Share this article: Facebook MySpace Digg LinkedIn Twitter
"This state visit is ... a terrible mistake," said Rep. Eliot Engel, chairman of the House Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere.

"He is illegitimate with his own people, and Brazil is now going to give him the air of legitimacy at a time when the world is trying to figure out how to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons."

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Engel was speaking of the state visit of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that began Monday, at the invitation of President Luiz Ignacio Lula da Silva of Brazil.

Extending such an honor to the leader who hosted a conference of Holocaust skeptics and deniers, often predicts Israel will disappear from the map, stole his last election and is stiffing the West on Iran's nuclear program is clearly a poke in the eye of Barack Obama.

Nor is this the only dissing of Obama and America by Lula.

The Brazilian embassy in Tegucigalpa has, for two months, been host to Honduran President Manuel Zelaya, a Chavista, who was ousted by his own Supreme Court and booted out of the country by the army.

America will... (continue reading)

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More from Pat Buchanan

Dumbo University
The campaign to equalize test scores among unequal students is utopian and amounts to a scam by the education industry.

Is America a Serious Nation?
Why is Khalid Sheikh Mohammed entitled to a presumption of innocence and all of the constitutional protections of a U.S. citizen?

The Third World Invasion and Conquest of America
The state of emergency is a national one. The very life of our nation is at stake in the immigration debate.

Day of Reckoning
How ignorance, ideology, and greed are tearing America apart.